مدرسة الاحتمالات

Naomi Osaka v Magdalena Frech

البداية: 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Naomi Osaka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.92%1.35السعر العادل
EV -3.16%
الأفضلية -2.41%
Kelly -10.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.74%74.11%73.80%76.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.29%77.52%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Magdalena Frech (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.08%3.83السعر العادل
EV +4.31%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.44%
النمو +0.062%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.81%25.89%26.20%28.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.613.604.0030.30%27.72%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.31%E +1.08%K +1.44%G +0.062%5.0%2026-06-21 14:09
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036%2.8%2026-06-21 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010%3.8%2026-06-21 14:09
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010%5.0%2026-06-21 14:58
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.17%E -0.309%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 14:09
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:57
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 14:09
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:58
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:09
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 15:00
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:09
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:09
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:08
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:49
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:49
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.07%E -7.38%K -39.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 14:49
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 14:09
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:56
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 14:09
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:30
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:56
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:09
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 14:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 14:09
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 14:09
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 14:55
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 14:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-21 14:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-06-21 15:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%2.6%2026-06-21 15:00
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%3.8%2026-06-21 14:59