Language:English
Valentin Royer v Harry Wendelken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valentin Royer (Local)
Prediction 54.71%1.83fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +3.25%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%54.65%54.69%56.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.751.8859.52%56.34%57.14%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harry Wendelken (Visit)
Prediction 45.29%2.21fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%45.35%45.31%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.042.052.1553.19%49.13%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valentin Royer (Local): 54.71%; Harry Wendelken (Visit): 45.29%. For Valentin Royer (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV +1.22%E +0.659%K +1.43%G +0.018% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -14.86%E -7.90%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -8.07%E -3.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 09:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |