La scuola delle quote

Valentin Royer v Harry Wendelken

Inizio: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Valentin Royer (Casa)

Previsione 54.71%1.83quota equa
EV +2.86%
Vantaggio +1.52%
Kelly +3.25%
Crescita +0.093%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.40%54.65%54.69%56.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.771.751.8859.52%56.34%57.14%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Harry Wendelken (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.29%2.21quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.98%45.35%45.31%49.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.042.052.1553.19%49.13%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV +1.22%E +0.659%K +1.43%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -14.86%E -7.90%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -8.07%E -3.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:57
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:58
Betr (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:58
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-30 09:56
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-06-30 10:00