StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Royer v Harry Wendelken

Matchstart: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Royer (Hemma)

Prognos 54.71%1.83rättvist odds
EV +2.86%
Fördel +1.52%
Kelly +3.25%
Tillväxt +0.093%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.88

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.40%54.65%54.69%56.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.681.771.751.8859.52%56.34%57.14%53.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Harry Wendelken (Borta)

Prognos 45.29%2.21rättvist odds
EV -2.63%
Fördel -1.22%
Kelly -2.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.98%45.35%45.31%49.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.882.042.052.1553.19%49.13%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Valentin Royer (Hemma): 54.71%; Harry Wendelken (Borta): 45.29%. För Valentin Royer (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.83. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.88, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.86%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV +1.22%E +0.659%K +1.43%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -14.86%E -7.90%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -8.07%E -3.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:57
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:58
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-30 09:56
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-06-30 10:00