مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valentin Royer v Harry Wendelken

البداية: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valentin Royer (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.71%1.83السعر العادل
EV +2.86%
الأفضلية +1.52%
Kelly +3.25%
النمو +0.093%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.40%54.65%54.69%56.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.771.751.8859.52%56.34%57.14%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Harry Wendelken (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.29%2.21السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -2.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.98%45.35%45.31%49.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.882.042.052.1553.19%49.13%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV +1.22%E +0.659%K +1.43%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -14.86%E -7.90%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -8.07%E -3.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:57
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:58
Betr (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:58
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-30 09:56
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-06-30 10:00