La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Valentin Royer v Harry Wendelken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valentin Royer (Local)
Predicción 54.71%1.83momio equitativo
EV +2.86%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +3.25%
Crecimiento +0.093%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.40%54.65%54.69%56.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.751.8859.52%56.34%57.14%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Harry Wendelken (Visitante)
Predicción 45.29%2.21momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.98%45.35%45.31%49.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.042.052.1553.19%49.13%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +2.86%E +1.52%K +3.25%G +0.093% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.50%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +2.31%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -13.96%E -7.34%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV +1.22%E +0.659%K +1.43%G +0.018% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -14.86%E -7.90%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -8.07%E -3.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.52%E -0.842%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Novig | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 09:56 |
| ProphetX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |