Язык:Русский
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Novak Djokovic
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Хозяева)
Прогноз 20.21%4.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +41.48%
Преимущество +5.93%
Kelly +6.91%
Рост +2.87%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.58%20.12%20.34%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.554.457.0026.67%21.99%22.47%14.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Novak Djokovic (Гости)
Прогноз 79.79%1.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.265%
Преимущество -0.212%
Kelly -1.06%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.00%79.88%79.66%86.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.101.191.201.2590.91%83.83%83.33%80.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Хозяева): 20.21%; Novak Djokovic (Гости): 79.79%. Для исхода «Stefanos Tsitsipas (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.95. 10 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +41.48%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +41.48%E +5.93%K +6.91%G +2.87% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -12.23%E -11.12%K -122.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.16%E +2.03%K +2.48%G +0.277% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +5.10%E +0.981%K +1.21%G +0.062% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV +4.70%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.05%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.99%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.60%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 18:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -10.06%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.86%E -1.51%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -1.06%E -0.857%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -24.21%E -6.45%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.265%E -0.212%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 1.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |