La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Novak Djokovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Predicción 20.21%4.95momio equitativo
EV +41.48%
Ventaja +5.93%
Kelly +6.91%
Crecimiento +2.87%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%20.12%20.34%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.554.457.0026.67%21.99%22.47%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Predicción 79.79%1.25momio equitativo
EV -0.265%
Ventaja -0.212%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%79.88%79.66%86.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.191.201.2590.91%83.83%83.33%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +41.48%E +5.93%K +6.91%G +2.87% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -12.23%E -11.12%K -122.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.16%E +2.03%K +2.48%G +0.277% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +5.10%E +0.981%K +1.21%G +0.062% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV +4.70%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| ReBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| GTbets | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.05%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:40 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.99%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.60%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| BetAnything | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 18:47 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:40 |
| Coral | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betsson | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -10.06%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 18:49 |
| Caesars | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Fliff | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:48 |
| 888sport | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Casumo | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| betPARX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.86%E -1.51%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -1.06%E -0.857%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -24.21%E -6.45%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.265%E -0.212%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 1.5% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 18:50 |