La scuola delle quote

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Novak Djokovic

Inizio: 2026-07-01 18:55 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)

Previsione 20.21%4.95quota equa
EV +41.48%
Vantaggio +5.93%
Kelly +6.91%
Crescita +2.87%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.58%20.12%20.34%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.554.457.0026.67%21.99%22.47%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Novak Djokovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 79.79%1.25quota equa
EV -0.265%
Vantaggio -0.212%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.00%79.88%79.66%86.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.191.201.2590.91%83.83%83.33%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +41.48%E +5.93%K +6.91%G +2.87%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -12.23%E -11.12%K -122.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 18:30
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.16%E +2.03%K +2.48%G +0.277%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:50
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +5.10%E +0.981%K +1.21%G +0.062%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:30
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV +4.70%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:49
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 18:30
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:30
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 18:30
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 18:30
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 18:30
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:30
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 18:50
GTbets4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.05%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 18:30
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 18:50
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:40
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.99%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:30
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.60%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 18:29
Fanatics4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 18:50
MyBookie.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:49
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:40
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:50
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:44
Marathon Bet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 18:29
Betr (AU)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 18:47
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 18:49
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:30
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 18:48
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:40
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Betsson4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
NordicBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -10.06%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:50
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:48
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:48
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 18:49
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:48
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.86%E -1.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:50
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 18:50
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -1.06%E -0.857%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 18:50
LeoVegas4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -24.21%E -6.45%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.265%E -0.212%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-07-01 18:50
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-07-01 18:50
Novig4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%1.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-07-01 18:50