Szkoła Kursów

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Novak Djokovic

Początek: 2026-07-01 18:55 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 20.21%4.95kurs godziwy
EV +41.48%
Przewaga +5.93%
Kelly +6.91%
Wzrost +2.87%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.58%20.12%20.34%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.554.457.0026.67%21.99%22.47%14.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Novak Djokovic (Goście)

Prognoza 79.79%1.25kurs godziwy
EV -0.265%
Przewaga -0.212%
Kelly -1.06%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.00%79.88%79.66%86.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.101.191.201.2590.91%83.83%83.33%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +41.48%E +5.93%K +6.91%G +2.87%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -12.23%E -11.12%K -122.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 18:30
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.16%E +2.03%K +2.48%G +0.277%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:50
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +5.10%E +0.981%K +1.21%G +0.062%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:30
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV +4.70%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:49
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 18:30
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:30
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 18:30
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 18:30
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 18:30
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:30
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 18:50
GTbets4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.05%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 18:30
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 18:50
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:40
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.99%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:30
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.60%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 18:29
Fanatics4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 18:50
MyBookie.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:49
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:40
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:50
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:44
Marathon Bet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 18:29
Betr (AU)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 18:47
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 18:49
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:30
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 18:48
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:40
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Betsson4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
NordicBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -10.06%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:50
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:48
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:48
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 18:49
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:48
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.86%E -1.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:50
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 18:50
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -1.06%E -0.857%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 18:50
LeoVegas4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -24.21%E -6.45%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.265%E -0.212%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 18:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-07-01 18:50
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-07-01 18:50
Novig4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%1.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-07-01 18:50