مدرسة الاحتمالات

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Novak Djokovic

البداية: 2026-07-01 18:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.21%4.95السعر العادل
EV +41.48%
الأفضلية +5.93%
Kelly +6.91%
النمو +2.87%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.58%20.12%20.34%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.554.457.0026.67%21.99%22.47%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Novak Djokovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 79.79%1.25السعر العادل
EV -0.265%
الأفضلية -0.212%
Kelly -1.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.00%79.88%79.66%86.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.191.201.2590.91%83.83%83.33%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +41.48%E +5.93%K +6.91%G +2.87%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -12.23%E -11.12%K -122.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 18:30
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.16%E +2.03%K +2.48%G +0.277%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:50
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +5.10%E +0.981%K +1.21%G +0.062%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:30
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV +4.70%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:49
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 18:30
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.08%E +0.604%K +0.751%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:30
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 18:30
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 18:30
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 18:30
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.06%E +0.212%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:30
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 18:50
GTbets4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -0.558%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.05%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 18:30
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 18:50
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.45%E -6.42%K -46.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:40
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.99%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:30
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.60%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 18:29
Fanatics4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 18:50
MyBookie.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:49
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:40
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:50
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:44
Marathon Bet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 18:29
Betr (AU)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 18:47
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 18:49
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:30
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 18:48
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:40
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Betsson4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
NordicBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -9.45%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -10.06%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 18:50
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:48
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:48
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 18:49
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:48
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:50
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.86%E -1.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:50
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.46%E -2.86%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.05%E -4.25%K -26.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:50
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 18:50
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -1.06%E -0.857%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 18:50
LeoVegas4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.12%E -3.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.25%E -3.55%K -21.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-01 18:50
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -24.21%E -6.45%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.265%E -0.212%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-07-01 18:50
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-07-01 18:50
Novig4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%1.5%2026-07-01 18:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-07-01 18:50