语言:简体中文
Marin Cilic v Daniil Medvedev
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marin Cilic (主队)
预测 28.92%3.46公平赔率
EV +2.38%
优势 +0.672%
Kelly +0.936%
增长率 +0.022%
假设最高赔率为 3.54
博彩公司预测分布
26.86%28.94%28.95%31.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.11%30.30%28.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Daniil Medvedev (客队)
预测 71.08%1.41公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -1.91%
Kelly -7.08%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.37
博彩公司预测分布
69.00%71.06%71.05%73.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.321.331.3777.52%75.50%75.19%72.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marin Cilic (主队)：28.92%；Daniil Medvedev (客队)：71.08%。 对于“Marin Cilic (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.46。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.54，对应+2.38%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +2.38%E +0.672%K +0.936%G +0.022% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.85%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.89%E -5.26%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |