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Marin Cilic v Daniil Medvedev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Marin Cilic (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.92%3.46справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.38%
Преимущество +0.672%
Kelly +0.936%
Рост +0.022%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.86%28.94%28.95%31.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.11%30.30%28.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Daniil Medvedev (Гости)
Прогноз 71.08%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.62%
Преимущество -1.91%
Kelly -7.08%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.37
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.00%71.06%71.05%73.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.291.321.331.3777.52%75.50%75.19%72.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Marin Cilic (Хозяева): 28.92%; Daniil Medvedev (Гости): 71.08%. Для исхода «Marin Cilic (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.46. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.54, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.38%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +2.38%E +0.672%K +0.936%G +0.022% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.85%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.89%E -5.26%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |