مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marin Cilic v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-06-29 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marin Cilic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.92%3.46السعر العادل
EV +2.38%
الأفضلية +0.672%
Kelly +0.936%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.86%28.94%28.95%31.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.11%30.30%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.08%1.41السعر العادل
EV -2.62%
الأفضلية -1.91%
Kelly -7.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.00%71.06%71.05%73.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.321.331.3777.52%75.50%75.19%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +2.38%E +0.672%K +0.936%G +0.022%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:50
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 14:51
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:49
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 14:50
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:50
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:50
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:46
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:50
MyBookie.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:50
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:50
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:50
DraftKings3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.85%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:50
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:50
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:51
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:44
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.89%E -5.26%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 14:44
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:50
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:50
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:51
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:46
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:50
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:50
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:41
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:50
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-29 14:51
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-06-29 14:50
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%3.6%2026-06-29 14:50