A Escola das Odds

Marin Cilic v Daniil Medvedev

Início: 2026-06-29 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marin Cilic (Local)

Previsão 28.92%3.46odd justa
EV +2.38%
Vantagem +0.672%
Kelly +0.936%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.86%28.94%28.95%31.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.11%30.30%28.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Previsão 71.08%1.41odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -7.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.00%71.06%71.05%73.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.321.331.3777.52%75.50%75.19%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +2.38%E +0.672%K +0.936%G +0.022%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:50
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 14:51
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:49
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 14:50
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:50
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:50
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:46
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:50
MyBookie.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:50
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:50
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:50
DraftKings3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.85%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:50
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:50
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:51
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:44
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.89%E -5.26%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 14:44
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:50
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:50
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:51
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:46
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:50
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:50
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:41
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:50
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-29 14:51
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-06-29 14:50
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%3.6%2026-06-29 14:50