L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Marin Cilic v Daniil Medvedev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prévision 28.92%3.46cote équitable
EV +2.38%
Avantage +0.672%
Kelly +0.936%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.86%28.94%28.95%31.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.11%30.30%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.08%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -7.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.00%71.06%71.05%73.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.321.331.3777.52%75.50%75.19%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +2.38%E +0.672%K +0.936%G +0.022% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.22%E +0.349%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.225%E -0.065%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:49 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| ReBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.60%E -5.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:46 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.85%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.89%E -5.26%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 14:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betsson | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.17%E -4.68%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.33%E -2.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| PlayUp | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.75%E -3.55%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:46 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.04%E -2.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.46%E -4.11%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -2.62%E -1.91%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| ProphetX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Novig | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |