Школа коэффициентов

Mariano Navone v Flavio Cobolli

Начало: 2026-06-30 17:35 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Mariano Navone (Хозяева)

Прогноз 23.65%4.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.765%
Преимущество +0.180%
Kelly +0.235%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.26

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.26%23.76%23.66%26.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.953.984.2628.57%25.34%25.16%23.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Гости)

Прогноз 76.35%1.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.51%
Преимущество -1.17%
Kelly -5.22%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
73.22%76.24%76.34%77.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.10%80.00%77.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV +0.765%E +0.180%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.528%E +0.124%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:30
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 12:20
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 15:20
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:30
Pinnacle4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.07%E -0.501%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:20
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:20
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:19
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:59
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:29
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:19
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 10:59
GTbets4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -4.68%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 07:49
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.15%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:10
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 11:00
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 01:08
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:50
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:00
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:19
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:19
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 17:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 06:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:29
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:20
Betr (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:19
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 12:19
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 06:29
NordicBet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Betsson3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:06
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 17:20
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:27
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:10
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.51%E -1.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:30
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:29
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:30
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.85%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-30 17:29
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-06-30 17:30
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%3.0%2026-06-30 17:30