Die Wettquotenschule

Mariano Navone v Flavio Cobolli

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 17:35 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Mariano Navone (Heim)

Prognose 23.65%4.23faire Quote
EV +0.765%
Vorteil +0.180%
Kelly +0.235%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.26%23.76%23.66%26.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.503.953.984.2628.57%25.34%25.16%23.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts)

Prognose 76.35%1.31faire Quote
EV -1.51%
Vorteil -1.17%
Kelly -5.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.22%76.24%76.34%77.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.10%80.00%77.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV +0.765%E +0.180%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.528%E +0.124%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:30
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 12:20
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 15:20
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:30
Pinnacle4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.07%E -0.501%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:20
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:20
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:19
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:59
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:29
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:19
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 10:59
GTbets4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -4.68%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 07:49
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.15%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:10
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 11:00
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 01:08
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:50
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:00
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:19
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:19
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 17:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 06:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:29
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:20
Betr (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:19
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 12:19
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 06:29
NordicBet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Betsson3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:06
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 17:20
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:27
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:10
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.51%E -1.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:30
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:29
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:30
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.85%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-30 17:29
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-06-30 17:30
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%3.0%2026-06-30 17:30