مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mariano Navone v Flavio Cobolli

البداية: 2026-06-30 17:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mariano Navone (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.65%4.23السعر العادل
EV +0.765%
الأفضلية +0.180%
Kelly +0.235%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.26%23.76%23.66%26.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.953.984.2628.57%25.34%25.16%23.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flavio Cobolli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.35%1.31السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -5.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.22%76.24%76.34%77.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.10%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV +0.765%E +0.180%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.528%E +0.124%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:30
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 12:20
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 15:20
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:30
Pinnacle4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.07%E -0.501%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:20
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:20
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:19
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:59
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:29
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:19
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 10:59
GTbets4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -4.68%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 07:49
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.15%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:10
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 11:00
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:19
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 01:08
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:50
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:00
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:19
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:19
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 17:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 06:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:29
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:20
Betr (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:19
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 12:19
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 06:29
NordicBet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Betsson3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:06
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 17:20
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:27
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:10
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.51%E -1.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:30
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:29
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:30
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.85%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-30 17:29
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-06-30 17:30
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%3.0%2026-06-30 17:30