L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Mariano Navone v Flavio Cobolli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 23.65%4.23cote équitable
EV +0.765%
Avantage +0.180%
Kelly +0.235%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.26%23.76%23.66%26.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.953.984.2628.57%25.34%25.16%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.35%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -5.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.22%76.24%76.34%77.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.10%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV +0.765%E +0.180%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.528%E +0.124%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.654%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.07%E -0.501%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 12:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| ReBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.02%E -0.737%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 10:59 |
| GTbets | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -4.68%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 07:49 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.15%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.04%E -2.39%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| BetAnything | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 11:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 01:08 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 06:40 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.86%E -5.62%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 06:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Betsson | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.33%E -4.30%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Unibet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-27 12:06 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 17:20 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 12:27 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.51%E -1.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.80%E -3.02%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.09%E -4.95%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PlayUp | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.85%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.57%E -3.65%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.28%E -1.78%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73% | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73% | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73% | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| ProphetX | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 1.3% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Novig | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |