Language:English
Luca Van Assche v Marton Fucsovics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luca Van Assche (Local)
Prediction 35.14%2.85fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.656%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%34.92%35.24%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.9040.00%37.13%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marton Fucsovics (Visit)
Prediction 64.86%1.54fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.08%64.76%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.471.5172.46%68.36%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luca Van Assche (Local): 35.14%; Marton Fucsovics (Visit): 64.86%. For Luca Van Assche (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.90%E +0.656%K +1.00%G +0.019% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.49%E -7.60%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.20%E +0.416%K +0.638%G +0.008% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.19%E -6.57%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -1.96%E -0.704%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.67%E -0.963%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.07%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.84%E -7.08%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.15%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |