L’École des cotes

Luca Van Assche v Marton Fucsovics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Luca Van Assche (Local)

Prévision 35.14%2.85cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +0.656%
Kelly +1.00%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%34.92%35.24%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.9040.00%37.13%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marton Fucsovics (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.86%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -4.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%65.08%64.76%67.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.461.471.5172.46%68.36%68.03%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.90%E +0.656%K +1.00%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.49%E -7.60%K -27.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 09:58
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.20%E +0.416%K +0.638%G +0.008%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.19%E -6.57%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -1.96%E -0.704%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.67%E -0.963%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 09:46
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 09:47
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.07%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:58
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
DraftKings2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 09:59
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.84%E -7.08%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Dabble (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.15%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-06-29 10:00