StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luca Van Assche v Marton Fucsovics

Matchstart: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luca Van Assche (Hemma)

Prognos 35.14%2.85rättvist odds
EV +1.90%
Fördel +0.656%
Kelly +1.00%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.24%34.92%35.24%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.692.702.9040.00%37.13%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marton Fucsovics (Borta)

Prognos 64.86%1.54rättvist odds
EV -2.06%
Fördel -1.36%
Kelly -4.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.96%65.08%64.76%67.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.461.471.5172.46%68.36%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Luca Van Assche (Hemma): 35.14%; Marton Fucsovics (Borta): 64.86%. För Luca Van Assche (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.85. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.90%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.90%E +0.656%K +1.00%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.49%E -7.60%K -27.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 09:58
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.20%E +0.416%K +0.638%G +0.008%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.19%E -6.57%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -1.96%E -0.704%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.67%E -0.963%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 09:46
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 09:47
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.07%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:58
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
DraftKings🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.84%E -7.08%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.15%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-06-29 10:00