مدرسة الاحتمالات

Luca Van Assche v Marton Fucsovics

البداية: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Luca Van Assche (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.14%2.85السعر العادل
EV +1.90%
الأفضلية +0.656%
Kelly +1.00%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.24%34.92%35.24%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.692.702.9040.00%37.13%37.04%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marton Fucsovics (الضيف)

التنبؤ 64.86%1.54السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -1.36%
Kelly -4.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.96%65.08%64.76%67.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.461.471.5172.46%68.36%68.03%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.90%E +0.656%K +1.00%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.49%E -7.60%K -27.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 09:58
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.20%E +0.416%K +0.638%G +0.008%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.19%E -6.57%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -1.96%E -0.704%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.67%E -0.963%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 09:46
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 09:47
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.07%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:58
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
DraftKings2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 09:59
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.84%E -7.08%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Dabble (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.15%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-06-29 10:00