La scuola delle quote

Luca Van Assche v Marton Fucsovics

Inizio: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Luca Van Assche (Casa)

Previsione 35.14%2.85quota equa
EV +1.90%
Vantaggio +0.656%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.24%34.92%35.24%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.692.702.9040.00%37.13%37.04%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marton Fucsovics (Trasferta)

Previsione 64.86%1.54quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.96%65.08%64.76%67.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.461.471.5172.46%68.36%68.03%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.90%E +0.656%K +1.00%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.49%E -7.60%K -27.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 09:58
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.20%E +0.416%K +0.638%G +0.008%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.19%E -6.57%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.144%E +0.051%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.61%E -0.576%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.90%E -5.56%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -1.96%E -0.704%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.67%E -0.963%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 09:46
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 09:47
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.07%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.36%E -2.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:58
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.42%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
DraftKings2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.10%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 09:59
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.84%E -7.08%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.65%E -3.17%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.59%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.00%E -2.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Dabble (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.30%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.71%E -1.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.15%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-06-29 10:00