Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 66.31%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 33.69%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.508. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.510, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.125%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV +0.125%E +0.083%K +0.245%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -12.74%E -4.92%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.28%E -0.438%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.65%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.945%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 09:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |