La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kamil Majchrzak v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Predicción 66.31%1.51momio equitativo
EV +0.125%
Ventaja +0.083%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%66.35%66.32%67.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.431.431.5171.43%69.83%69.93%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 33.69%2.97momio equitativo
EV -0.608%
Ventaja -0.206%
Kelly -0.312%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.26%33.65%33.68%36.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.592.812.842.9538.61%35.53%35.21%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV +0.125%E +0.083%K +0.245%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -12.74%E -4.92%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.28%E -0.438%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.65%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.945%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 09:56 |
| ProphetX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |