Szkoła Kursów

Kamil Majchrzak v Alejandro Tabilo

Początek: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 66.31%1.51kurs godziwy
EV +0.125%
Przewaga +0.083%
Kelly +0.245%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.17%66.35%66.32%67.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.431.431.5171.43%69.83%69.93%66.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alejandro Tabilo (Goście)

Prognoza 33.69%2.97kurs godziwy
EV -0.608%
Przewaga -0.206%
Kelly -0.312%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.26%33.65%33.68%36.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.592.812.842.9538.61%35.53%35.21%33.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV +0.125%E +0.083%K +0.245%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -12.74%E -4.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.28%E -0.438%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.65%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:57
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.945%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 09:58
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-30 09:56
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-06-30 10:00