La scuola delle quote

Kamil Majchrzak v Alejandro Tabilo

Inizio: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Casa)

Previsione 66.31%1.51quota equa
EV +0.125%
Vantaggio +0.083%
Kelly +0.245%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.17%66.35%66.32%67.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.431.431.5171.43%69.83%69.93%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.69%2.97quota equa
EV -0.608%
Vantaggio -0.206%
Kelly -0.312%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.26%33.65%33.68%36.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.592.812.842.9538.61%35.53%35.21%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV +0.125%E +0.083%K +0.245%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -12.74%E -4.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.28%E -0.438%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.65%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:57
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.945%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 09:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-30 09:56
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-06-30 10:00