L’École des cotes

Kamil Majchrzak v Alejandro Tabilo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prévision 66.31%1.51cote équitable
EV +0.125%
Avantage +0.083%
Kelly +0.245%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.17%66.35%66.32%67.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.431.431.5171.43%69.83%69.93%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.69%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.608%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.312%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.26%33.65%33.68%36.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.592.812.842.9538.61%35.53%35.21%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV +0.125%E +0.083%K +0.245%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -12.74%E -4.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.28%E -0.438%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.65%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.608%E -0.206%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:57
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.945%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 09:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-30 09:56
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-06-30 10:00