Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar v Francisco Cerundolo

Kickoff: 2026-06-30 13:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.313%
Kelly +0.418%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.47%25.40%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.704.0029.41%26.88%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)

Prediction 74.69%1.34fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -6.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.42%74.53%74.60%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.271.281.3181.30%78.65%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaume Munar (Local): 25.31%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 74.69%. For Jaume Munar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Pinnacle🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.494%E +0.124%K +0.166%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
SportsBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
MyBookie.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:08
Dabble (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 13:10
DraftKings🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.728%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:09
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:10
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:04
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:04
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:09
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.14%E -6.61%K -35.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 13:08
GTbets🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Everygame🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.14%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:07
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:08
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -12.92%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
ProphetX4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%1.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%3.6%2026-06-30 13:09