L’École des cotes

Jaume Munar v Francisco Cerundolo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 13:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.313%
Kelly +0.418%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%25.47%25.40%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.723.704.0029.41%26.88%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.69%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -6.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.42%74.53%74.60%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.271.281.3181.30%78.65%78.13%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Pinnacle3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.494%E +0.124%K +0.166%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
SportsBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
MyBookie.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:08
Dabble (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 13:10
DraftKings3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.728%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:09
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:10
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:05
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:04
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:04
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:09
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.14%E -6.61%K -35.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 13:08
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.14%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:07
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:08
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -12.92%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
ProphetX4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%1.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%3.6%2026-06-30 13:09