La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jaume Munar v Francisco Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaume Munar (Local)
Predicción 25.31%3.95momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.313%
Kelly +0.418%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.47%25.40%27.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.723.704.0029.41%26.88%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 74.69%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -6.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.42%74.53%74.60%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.271.281.3181.30%78.65%78.13%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.494%E +0.124%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| SportsBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| theScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.728%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| ReBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:04 |
| BetAnything | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:04 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.14%E -6.61%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| GTbets | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.14%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:07 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -12.92%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| ProphetX | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Novig | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |