La scuola delle quote

Jaume Munar v Francisco Cerundolo

Inizio: 2026-06-30 13:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaume Munar (Casa)

Previsione 25.31%3.95quota equa
EV +1.25%
Vantaggio +0.313%
Kelly +0.418%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.81%25.47%25.40%27.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.723.704.0029.41%26.88%27.03%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta)

Previsione 74.69%1.34quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -6.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.42%74.53%74.60%76.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.231.271.281.3181.30%78.65%78.13%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Pinnacle3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.494%E +0.124%K +0.166%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
SportsBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
MyBookie.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:08
Dabble (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 13:10
DraftKings3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.728%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:09
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:10
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:05
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:04
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:04
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:09
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.14%E -6.61%K -35.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 13:08
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.14%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:07
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:08
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -12.92%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
ProphetX4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%1.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%3.6%2026-06-30 13:09