مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jaume Munar v Francisco Cerundolo

البداية: 2026-06-30 13:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jaume Munar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.31%3.95السعر العادل
EV +1.25%
الأفضلية +0.313%
Kelly +0.418%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.81%25.47%25.40%27.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.723.704.0029.41%26.88%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 74.69%1.34السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -1.65%
Kelly -6.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.42%74.53%74.60%76.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.231.271.281.3181.30%78.65%78.13%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.418%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Pinnacle3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.494%E +0.124%K +0.166%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
SportsBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
MyBookie.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:08
Dabble (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.54%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 13:10
DraftKings3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.728%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:09
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:10
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:05
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:04
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:04
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:09
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.14%E -6.61%K -35.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 13:08
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.14%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:07
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:08
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -12.92%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:09
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:03
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
ProphetX4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%1.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%3.6%2026-06-30 13:09