Language:English
Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Prediction 79.74%1.25fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -8.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%79.54%79.73%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.31%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Novak Djokovic (Visit)
Prediction 20.26%4.94fair odd
EV +3.74%
Edge +0.730%
Kelly +0.907%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 5.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.46%20.27%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.594.505.1225.00%21.79%22.22%19.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +3.74%E +0.730%K +0.907%G +0.034% | 2.2% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.69%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.112%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.73%E -0.357%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.75%E -0.572%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -7.00%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 14:58 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.86%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -12.27%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.88%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -1.92%E -1.56%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -14.09%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 14:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |