A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic

Início: 2026-07-10 15:33 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 79.74%1.25odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -8.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.63%79.54%79.73%81.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.31%83.33%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Novak Djokovic (Visitante)

Previsão 20.26%4.94odd justa
EV +3.74%
Vantagem +0.730%
Kelly +0.907%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.96%20.46%20.27%23.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.594.505.1225.00%21.79%22.22%19.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +3.74%E +0.730%K +0.907%G +0.034%2.2%2026-07-10 15:05
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%3.3%2026-07-10 15:05
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%3.3%2026-07-10 15:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%4.7%2026-07-10 15:09
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:09
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:00
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.69%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.112%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 15:05
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:00
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.73%E -0.357%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 15:05
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.75%E -0.572%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:09
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:05
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:59
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:08
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:00
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:00
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 14:58
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 14:59
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:04
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:00
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:59
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -7.00%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:00
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:00
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 14:58
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:00
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 14:59
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 15:05
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:00
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:00
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.86%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:08
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -12.27%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.88%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 15:09
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -1.92%E -1.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -14.09%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:00
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:59
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:08
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 14:56
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%0.1%2026-07-10 15:05
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95%0.3%2026-07-10 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:08
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-07-10 15:09
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-07-10 15:09