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Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Jannik Sinner (Хозяева)
Прогноз 79.74%1.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.92%
Преимущество -1.56%
Kelly -8.35%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.23
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.63%79.54%79.73%81.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.31%83.33%81.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Novak Djokovic (Гости)
Прогноз 20.26%4.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.74%
Преимущество +0.730%
Kelly +0.907%
Рост +0.034%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.12
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.96%20.46%20.27%23.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.594.505.1225.00%21.79%22.22%19.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Jannik Sinner (Хозяева): 79.74%; Novak Djokovic (Гости): 20.26%. Для исхода «Novak Djokovic (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.94. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.12, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.74%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +3.74%E +0.730%K +0.907%G +0.034% | 2.2% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.69%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.112%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.73%E -0.357%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.75%E -0.572%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -7.00%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 14:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.86%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -12.27%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.88%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -1.92%E -1.56%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -14.09%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 14:56 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |