La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Predicción 79.74%1.25momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -8.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%79.54%79.73%81.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.31%83.33%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Predicción 20.26%4.94momio equitativo
EV +3.74%
Ventaja +0.730%
Kelly +0.907%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%20.46%20.27%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.594.505.1225.00%21.79%22.22%19.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +3.74%E +0.730%K +0.907%G +0.034% | 2.2% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.69%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.112%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.73%E -0.357%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.75%E -0.572%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -7.00%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 14:58 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.86%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -12.27%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.88%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -1.92%E -1.56%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -14.09%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:00 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 14:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:08 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-07-10 15:09 |