Szkoła Kursów

Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic

Początek: 2026-07-10 15:33 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 79.74%1.25kurs godziwy
EV -1.92%
Przewaga -1.56%
Kelly -8.35%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.63%79.54%79.73%81.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.31%83.33%81.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Novak Djokovic (Goście)

Prognoza 20.26%4.94kurs godziwy
EV +3.74%
Przewaga +0.730%
Kelly +0.907%
Wzrost +0.034%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.96%20.46%20.27%23.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.594.505.1225.00%21.79%22.22%19.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +3.74%E +0.730%K +0.907%G +0.034%2.2%2026-07-10 15:05
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%3.3%2026-07-10 15:05
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%3.3%2026-07-10 15:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%4.7%2026-07-10 15:09
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:09
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%5.5%2026-07-10 15:00
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.69%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.112%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 15:05
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.720%E -0.147%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:00
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.73%E -0.357%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 15:05
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.75%E -0.572%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:09
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:05
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:59
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:08
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:00
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:00
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 14:58
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 14:59
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:04
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:00
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:59
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -7.00%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:00
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:00
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.62%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:09
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:08
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:00
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 14:58
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:00
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.91%E -5.01%K -32.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.71%E -5.73%K -39.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 14:59
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 15:05
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:00
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.11%E -4.29%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -10.85%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:00
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.52%E -2.91%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.86%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:08
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -12.27%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.88%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 15:09
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -1.92%E -1.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -14.09%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:00
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:59
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.72%E -2.23%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:08
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.31%E -3.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.96%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 14:56
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%0.1%2026-07-10 15:05
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95%0.3%2026-07-10 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:08
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-07-10 15:09
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-07-10 15:09