语言:简体中文
Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jannik Sinner (主队)
预测 79.56%1.26公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -1.74%
Kelly -9.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.23
博彩公司预测分布
76.63%79.49%79.53%82.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.201.201.2387.72%83.50%83.33%81.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Novak Djokovic (客队)
预测 20.44%4.89公平赔率
EV +12.43%
优势 +2.26%
Kelly +2.76%
增长率 +0.344%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.17%20.51%20.47%23.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.644.515.5025.00%21.56%22.17%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jannik Sinner (主队)：79.56%；Novak Djokovic (客队)：20.44%。 对于“Novak Djokovic (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.89。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.50，对应+12.43%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.30%E +1.21%K +1.50%G +0.095% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +4.67%E +0.911%K +1.13%G +0.053% | 2.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +4.26%E +0.835%K +1.04%G +0.044% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 15:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -1.67%E -0.348%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -6.17%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:13 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -13.32%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 15:15 |