A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic

Início: 2026-07-10 15:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 79.56%1.26odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -9.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.63%79.49%79.53%82.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.201.201.2387.72%83.50%83.33%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Novak Djokovic (Visitante)

Previsão 20.44%4.89odd justa
EV +12.43%
Vantagem +2.26%
Kelly +2.76%
Crescimento +0.344%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.17%20.51%20.47%23.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.644.515.5025.00%21.56%22.17%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344%5.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344%5.9%2026-07-10 15:15
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.30%E +1.21%K +1.50%G +0.095%4.7%2026-07-10 15:15
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +4.67%E +0.911%K +1.13%G +0.053%2.2%2026-07-10 15:15
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +4.26%E +0.835%K +1.04%G +0.044%4.4%2026-07-10 15:15
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%3.3%2026-07-10 15:14
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%4.7%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 15:13
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 15:14
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:15
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -1.67%E -0.348%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 15:14
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:14
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:13
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:15
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -6.17%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:14
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:14
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:13
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:14
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -13.32%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:14
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:14
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 15:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15