StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic

Matchstart: 2026-07-10 15:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner (Hemma)

Prognos 79.56%1.26rättvist odds
EV -2.14%
Fördel -1.74%
Kelly -9.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.63%79.49%79.53%82.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.141.201.201.2387.72%83.50%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Novak Djokovic (Borta)

Prognos 20.44%4.89rättvist odds
EV +12.43%
Fördel +2.26%
Kelly +2.76%
Tillväxt +0.344%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.17%20.51%20.47%23.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.644.515.5025.00%21.56%22.17%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jannik Sinner (Hemma): 79.56%; Novak Djokovic (Borta): 20.44%. För Novak Djokovic (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.89. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +12.43%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344%5.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344%5.9%2026-07-10 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.30%E +1.21%K +1.50%G +0.095%4.7%2026-07-10 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +4.67%E +0.911%K +1.13%G +0.053%2.2%2026-07-10 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +4.26%E +0.835%K +1.04%G +0.044%4.4%2026-07-10 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%3.3%2026-07-10 15:14
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%4.7%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 15:13
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -1.67%E -0.348%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 15:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:13
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:15
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -6.17%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:14
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:14
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -13.32%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 15:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15