مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic

البداية: 2026-07-10 15:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jannik Sinner (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.56%1.26السعر العادل
EV -2.14%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -9.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.63%79.49%79.53%82.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.201.201.2387.72%83.50%83.33%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Novak Djokovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.44%4.89السعر العادل
EV +12.43%
الأفضلية +2.26%
Kelly +2.76%
النمو +0.344%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.17%20.51%20.47%23.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.644.515.5025.00%21.56%22.17%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344%5.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.30%E -8.16%K -66.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.43%E +2.26%K +2.76%G +0.344%5.9%2026-07-10 15:15
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.30%E +1.21%K +1.50%G +0.095%4.7%2026-07-10 15:15
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +4.67%E +0.911%K +1.13%G +0.053%2.2%2026-07-10 15:15
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +4.26%E +0.835%K +1.04%G +0.044%4.4%2026-07-10 15:15
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%3.3%2026-07-10 15:14
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%4.7%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.21%E +0.442%K +0.553%G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 15:13
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 15:14
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.168%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:15
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -1.67%E -0.348%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 15:14
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.92%E -5.91%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:14
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:13
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:15
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:15
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.59%EV -6.17%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:15
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 15:14
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:14
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:14
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:13
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.12%E -5.19%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:15
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:14
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:15
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -2.14%E -1.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -13.32%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:14
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:14
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:14
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.94%E -2.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:14
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.53%E -3.78%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 15:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-10 15:15
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-07-10 15:15