Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Sebastian Baez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 69.78%1.43fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.79%69.73%71.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4075.19%73.16%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Visit)
Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV +4.58%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.085%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%30.21%30.27%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.073.4634.48%32.41%32.57%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 69.78%; Sebastian Baez (Visit): 30.22%. For Sebastian Baez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +4.58%E +1.32%K +1.86%G +0.085% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.864%E -0.263%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 13:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.01%E -2.17%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -2.07%E -0.640%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -4.19%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-29 13:58 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |