Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Sebastian Baez

Início: 2026-06-29 14:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Previsão 69.78%1.43odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -5.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.79%69.73%71.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.371.371.4075.19%73.16%72.99%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sebastian Baez (Visitante)

Previsão 30.22%3.31odd justa
EV +4.58%
Vantagem +1.32%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescimento +0.085%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%30.21%30.27%32.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.093.073.4634.48%32.41%32.57%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 69.78%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 30.22%. Para Sebastian Baez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.31. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.46, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.58%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +4.58%E +1.32%K +1.86%G +0.085%1.9%2026-06-29 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.864%E -0.263%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:51
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 14:00
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.01%E -2.17%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -2.07%E -0.640%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:59
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -4.19%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:00
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 13:59
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:59
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:59
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-29 13:58
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:00
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-29 14:01
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-29 14:01
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-06-29 14:01
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-06-29 14:00