Język:Polski
Jan-Lennard Struff v Sebastian Baez
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 69.78%1.43kurs godziwy
EV -2.31%
Przewaga -1.65%
Kelly -5.79%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.44%69.79%69.73%71.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.331.371.371.4075.19%73.16%72.99%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Sebastian Baez (Goście)
Prognoza 30.22%3.31kurs godziwy
EV +4.58%
Przewaga +1.32%
Kelly +1.86%
Wzrost +0.085%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.46
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.36%30.21%30.27%32.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.093.073.4634.48%32.41%32.57%28.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze): 69.78%; Sebastian Baez (Goście): 30.22%. Dla wyniku Sebastian Baez (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.31. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.46, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.58%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +4.58%E +1.32%K +1.86%G +0.085% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.864%E -0.263%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 13:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.01%E -2.17%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -2.07%E -0.640%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -4.19%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-29 13:58 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |