StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Sebastian Baez

Matchstart: 2026-06-29 14:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Hemma)

Prognos 69.78%1.43rättvist odds
EV -2.31%
Fördel -1.65%
Kelly -5.79%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.44%69.79%69.73%71.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.371.371.4075.19%73.16%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Baez (Borta)

Prognos 30.22%3.31rättvist odds
EV +4.58%
Fördel +1.32%
Kelly +1.86%
Tillväxt +0.085%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.36%30.21%30.27%32.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.093.073.4634.48%32.41%32.57%28.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jan-Lennard Struff (Hemma): 69.78%; Sebastian Baez (Borta): 30.22%. För Sebastian Baez (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.31. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.46, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.58%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +4.58%E +1.32%K +1.86%G +0.085%1.9%2026-06-29 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.864%E -0.263%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:51
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 14:00
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.01%E -2.17%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -2.07%E -0.640%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:59
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -4.19%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:00
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 13:59
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:59
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:59
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-29 13:58
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:00
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-29 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-29 14:01
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-29 14:01
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-06-29 14:01
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-06-29 14:00