La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jan-Lennard Struff v Sebastian Baez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jan-Lennard Struff (Casa)
Previsione 69.78%1.43quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -5.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%69.79%69.73%71.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.371.371.4075.19%73.16%72.99%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.22%3.31quota equa
EV +4.58%
Vantaggio +1.32%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescita +0.085%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.36%30.21%30.27%32.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.093.073.4634.48%32.41%32.57%28.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +4.58%E +1.32%K +1.86%G +0.085% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.864%E -0.263%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 13:51 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.77%E -0.545%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.01%E -2.17%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -2.07%E -0.640%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| ReBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -4.19%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.41%E -3.22%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.50%E -4.85%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.82%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.80%E -4.30%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.20%E -5.41%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-29 13:58 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.71%E -2.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.11%E -3.75%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.84%E -3.67%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.31%E -1.65%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| ProphetX | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Novig | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |