Language:English
Hubert Hurkacz v Jan-Lennard Struff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prediction 72.51%1.38fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +2.58%
Kelly +8.59%
Growth +0.317%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%72.66%72.13%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.301.291.4386.96%76.74%77.22%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV +37.44%
Edge +7.49%
Kelly +9.36%
Growth +3.50%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%27.34%27.87%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.483.415.0035.71%28.72%29.37%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 72.51%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 27.49%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +37.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 15:48 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -16.61%E -14.44%K -110.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +31.94%E +6.66%K +8.41%G +2.69% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -47.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +15.45%E +3.68%K +4.83%G +0.746% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +14.08%E +3.39%K +4.47%G +0.629% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +13.25%E +3.22%K +4.25%G +0.563% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 15:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.75%EV +12.98%E +3.16%K +4.17%G +0.542% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +9.95%E +2.49%K +3.32%G +0.330% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.83%E +1.51%K +2.05%G +0.119% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -12.99%E -10.82%K -64.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071% | 9.6% | 2026-07-05 15:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +1.43%E +0.388%K +0.532%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.333%E +0.091%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 15:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.42%E -0.681%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.06%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 15:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV -11.49%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.83%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.16%E -5.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV +0.066%E +0.048%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -20.83%E -7.23%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +3.69%E +2.58%K +8.59%G +0.317% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +2.24%E +1.59%K +5.47%G +0.123% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -23.03%E -8.23%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |